MacroCommunity lean: 42%
Will US CPI year-over-year inflation print below 3% at the next monthly release?
Resolves: 30 days
Public questions
Browse resolvable questions
Metaculus-style question cards you can forecast in your private journal after signing up for KELLY Superforecasting. No account required to browse.
10 of 10 questions shown · source: database
PolicyCommunity lean: 38%
Will the Fed cut rates at least once before the end of this quarter?
Resolves: 90 days
TechnologyCommunity lean: 55%
Will a major AI lab ship a widely used open-weight model this month?
Resolves: 30 days
MarketsCommunity lean: 51%
Will the S&P 500 close higher on the last trading day of this month than today?
Resolves: 30 days
GeopoliticsCommunity lean: 22%
Will there be a verified ceasefire announcement in the Ukraine conflict this quarter?
Resolves: 90 days
WeatherCommunity lean: 35%
Will a Category 3+ hurricane make US landfall this season?
Resolves: 180 days
CryptoCommunity lean: 48%
Will Bitcoin trade above $100k on any day this month?
Resolves: 30 days
ScienceCommunity lean: 29%
Will FDA approve a new mRNA vaccine indication this year?
Resolves: 365 days
MacroCommunity lean: 61%
Will the next US jobs report show unemployment below 4%?
Resolves: 45 days
Will I complete my top priority before the end of this week?
Resolves: 7 days